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NSW Legislative Council · Inquiry pk=3169 · Case study

The inquiry that decides how the AI build-out lands in Sydney.

The NSW Parliament's data-centre inquiry is the live, public test of whether the build-out's grid and heat impact can be governed transparently. It's the case study Pulse Horizon was built for. The same hex layer that shows where heat hits Sydney hardest also shows where the new clusters are landing. Two questions, one canvas. This page is the read-along. Submissions and transcripts are on the NSW Parliament page ↗

See it on Sydney Live → Read the simple version →

The inquiry in brief

What's being scrutinised, and why it matters.

The Legislative Council's Public Accountability and Works Committee opened the inquiry to examine the data-centre build-out across NSW: operating sites, sites under construction, and the announced pipeline. The terms of reference reach into power demand, water use, ESG governance, social impact, and the absence of a sector-specific regulator. Hearings run open, transcripts are published, submissions are public.

What makes it the right case study for Pulse Horizon: every issue raised in the room (grid headroom, cooling load, planning consent, suburb-level impact) is something the live hex layer measures already, and the local stakes are concrete. Penrith Council told the inquiry that 55% of December 2025 ran above 30°C. The data isn't missing. The stitching is.

What the data says scroll for more →
  1. ~2GW

    Kemps Creek cluster alone

    Roughly 2 GW disclosed; 400 MW operating today plus 1.57 GW announced or under construction. One cluster, the equivalent draw of roughly 4.5 million Sydney homes.

    Live readNSW grid demand checking… MW (spot ). A 2 GW continuous cluster would be roughly of right-now demand.
    Source: NSW Planning Portal · IPART 2025 · Oxford Economics for AEMO
    “Construction and operation of a data centre campus with a power capacity of 1 GW including six four-storey data centre buildings, 936 cooling units, 852 diesel back-up generators and 14,430 kl of diesel storage, internal roads and car parking.” NSW Planning Portal, Mamre Road Data Centre Campus, SSD-92743706
    “A typical household is assumed to: use 3,900 kWh of electricity each year (the average usage level in the Ausgrid distribution network).” IPART, Solar feed-in benchmark ranges 2025-26 (Final Report, May 2025)
    “Calibration caveat (our note, not a quote): AEMO's commissioned modelling estimates only ~6 GW of roughly 44 GW of Australian data-centre connection enquiries is expected to materialise under the Step Change scenario, with the remainder reflecting double-counted hyperscaler enquiries (phantom demand). We treat the disclosed Kemps Creek figures (2 GW + 1.57 GW announced) as upper-bound until commissioning data confirms each phase.” Pulse Horizon methodology note — informed by Oxford Economics for AEMO, Data Centre Energy Consumption Report (July 2025)
  2. 78%

    Cumberland LGA above the basin mean

    On the V2 heat-vulnerability composite (0.558 vs basin mean 0.313). Shares boundaries with two of the largest western data-centre clusters in the corridor.

    Independent evidence: WSROC · Sweltering Cities
    “Heat impacts are particularly pronounced in Western Sydney, due to a combination of climate change, local geography, and rapid urbanisation – where greening makes way for new housing developments.” WSROC, Turn Down the Heat strategy
    “We are concerned that suburbs such as Marsden Park, Eastern Creek, and Kemps Creek, which are already some of Sydney's hottest suburbs, will now house these major data centres.” Sweltering Cities, 21 April 2026
  3. 25%

    Sydney drinking water by 2035

    Sydney Water expects data-centre water use to grow from under 1% of drinking-water supply today to about 25% (around 250 ML/day) by 2035 if the announced pipeline lands as filed.

    Live readSydney dam system checking… full. Data-centre share of supply today: <1%. Projected by 2035: ~25%.
    Source: Greens NSW · The Saturday Paper
    “The latest estimates predict data centres will take up to 25% of Sydney's drinking water supply, and consume 11% of all energy produced.” Greens NSW media release, 29 January 2026
  4. 5

    Big new clusters in the western corridor

    Kemps Creek, Eastern Creek, Huntingwood, Erskine Park, Horsley Park. Six if you count Macquarie Park to the north.

    Source: operator confirmations · NEXTDC · CDC
    “Planned for Eastern Creek, S7 Sydney is a future 550MW+ hyperscale data centre designed to support the next wave of AI, cloud and digital infrastructure demand across New South Wales and the broader region.” NEXTDC, S7 Sydney (Eastern Creek)
    “We have received State Significant Development approval from the NSW Government, and we are currently mobilising the team in preparation for site commencement in the coming weeks.” NEXTDC, S4 Horsley Park (conditions of consent page)
    “Our second Sydney campus at Marsden Park is set to become the largest in the southern hemisphere, providing over 504 MW of planned capacity with scalability towards one gigawatt.” CDC Sydney (Marsden Park campus)
  5. 3,678

    Hex cells on the Sydney basin

    Every public layer (heat, vulnerability, fires, grid, transport, DC build-out) rolls up to the same hex grid, refreshed every 15 minutes.

  6. 37

    LGAs in the basin

    Sydney-basin LGA polygons with per-LGA V2 sensitivity rollups joined from the hex layer. Per-LGA rollups let council-level questions be read off the map.

Read it on the map

Three overlays the inquiry questions all land on.

Each call-out below deep-links to the live overlay on Sydney Live. Read them in order, inventory, vulnerability, live incidents, and the inquiry's central tension reads off the page.

  1. Data-centre inventory

    Five GW-scale clusters in the western corridor.

    The map lists every site with its disclosed MW, status (operating · under construction · planning) and parent operator. Click any marker to read off the operator's own published figure.

    Open the DC inventory →
  2. Heat vulnerability composite

    Cumberland LGA sits 78% above the Sydney mean.

    The V2 composite combines deprivation index, housing stress, tree canopy and recency-of-arrival into a per-hex sensitivity score. The overlay lights up exactly where the build-out is densest.

    Open the vulnerability overlay →
  3. Live incidents

    Outages, fires and late transit on one canvas.

    The same hex grid carries the live RFS perimeters, Ausgrid outage points and GTFS-RT transit-vehicle delays. On a stress day, the inquiry context becomes a thing you can watch.

    Open the live incidents feed →
What we're learning

Three observations the data keeps making.

  • +78%

    The build-out lands hardest where the basin can least absorb it.

    Cumberland sits 78% above the basin mean on V2, and shares boundaries with the two largest western data-centre clusters. Canterbury-Bankstown and Burwood follow.

    Cumberland Canterbury-Bankstown Burwood Camden
    The four LGAs this case study calls out, shown on a Sydney basin schematic. Open them on Sydney Live →
  • 400 MW

    Heat is a network problem too.

    A heatwave is also a grid-strain day. Add a 400 MW cluster to a network already loaded and you change cooling-load and operator-decision stories at once. The hex layer shows both.

  • 6 feeds

    The data exists. The reading is the work.

    Bureau of Meteorology, AEMO, Ausgrid, NSW Planning, ABS, NSW Health. The question is who gets to read them next to each other, and whether the read is supervised. That's the bit Matt, Sam and the SMEs we trust won't automate away.

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